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The time-series linkages between US fiscal policy and asset prices
El Montasser, Ghassen; Gupta, Rangan; Jooste, Charl; … - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011547643
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Date-stamping US housing market explosivity
Balcilar, Mehmet; Katzke, Nico; Gupta, Rangan - 2018
Generalized supADF (GSADF) test procedure developed by Phillips et al. (Testing for multiple bubbles: Historical episodes of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011812671
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Date-stamping US housing market explosivity
Balcilar, Mehmet; Katzke, Nico; Gupta, Rangan - 2017
Generalized sup ADF (GSADF) test procedure developed by Phillips, Shi, and Yu (Testing for Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674010
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Is there a national housing market bubble brewing in the United States?
Gupta, Rangan; Ma, Jun; Theodoridis, Konstantinos; … - 2020
We use a time-varying parameter dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility (DFM-TV-SV) estimated using Bayesian methods to disentangle the relative importance of the common component in FHFA house price movements from state-specific shocks, over the quarterly period of 1975Q2 to 2017Q4. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012229804
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Modeling and forecasting carbon dioxide emission allowance spot price volatility : multifractal vs. GARCH-type volatility models
Segnon, Mawuli; Lux, Thomas; Gupta, Rangan - 2015
This paper applies Markov-switching multifractal (MSM) processes to model and forecast carbon dioxide (CO2) emission price volatility, and compares their forecasting performance to the standard GARCH, fractionally integrated GARCH (FIGARCH) and the two-state Markov-switching GARCH (MS-GARCH)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011296114
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Date stamping historical periods of oil price explosivity: 1876-2014
Caspi, Itamar; Katzke, Nico; Gupta, Rangan - In: Energy economics 70 (2018), pp. 582-587
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011942891
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Testing for bubbles in the BRICS stock markets
Chang, Tsangyao; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Aye, Goodness C.; … - In: Journal of economic studies 43 (2016) 4, pp. 646-660
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011692406
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LPPLS bubble indicators over two centuries of the S&P 500 index
Zhang, Qunzhi; Sornette, Didier; Balcilar, Mehmet; … - 2016
The aim of this paper is to present novel tests for the early causal diagnostic of positive and negative bubbles in the … LPPLS (log-periodic power law singularity) approach successfully diagnoses positive and negative bubbles, constructs … efficient End-of-Bubble signals for all of the well-documented bubbles, and obtains for the first time new statistical evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514490
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Date stamping historical oil price bubbles : 1876 - 2014
Caspi, Itamar; Katzke, Nico; Gupta, Rangan - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010432200
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Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Goldreturns (and Volatility)
Gabauer, David; Gupta, Rangan; Karmakar, Sayar; … - 2023
Firstly, we use the Multi-Scale LPPLS Confidence Indicator approach to detectboth positive and negative bubbles at … that, our bubbles indicators,particularly when both positive and negative bubbles are considered simultaneously …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353907