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co-integration tests and the studies on South Africa primarily using short-span data from the post-Bretton Woods era, we … Dollar using annual data from 1910 – 2010. The results provide some support for the monetary model in that long-run co-integration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009770376
This paper analyses the relationship between house prices and the trade balance in South Africa using an agnostic identification procedure. This method allows a housing demand shock to be identified in an eight-variable VAR model by imposing sign restrictions on the impulse responses of consumer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604670
fractional integration and cointegration techniques to account for high persistence in the series. We find evidence of fractional … cointegration between saving and investment, indicating some degree of persistence in the gap between the two variables. We also … financial deregulation process in South Africa. While fractional cointegration holds before the break, it does not thereafter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011149762
We analyse the relationship between the South African real exchange rate and economic fundamentals - demand, supply and nominal shocks. Using a time-varying parameter VAR we study the coherence, conditional volatility and impulse responses of the exchange rate over specific periods and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011011766
This paper develops and estimates an open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of South Africa. We devote special attention to the impact of stock price wealth effects on output and the interest rate. For this reason we adopt a perpetual youth approach, which allows for a limited...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095433
This paper develops and estimates an open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of South Africa. We devote special attention to the impact of stock price wealth effects on output and the interest rate. For this reason we adopt a perpetual youth approach, which allows for a limited...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929398
The paper develops a short-run model of a small open financially repressed economy characterized by unorganized money markets, intermediate good imports, capital mobility and flexible exchange rates. The analysis shows that financial liberalization, in the form of increased rate of interest on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773168
The paper develops a more generalized short-run model of a small open financially repressed economy, characterized by unorganized money markets, intermediate good imports, capital mobility, flexible exchange rates and rational expectations, to analyze the price- and output- effects of financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773195
The paper develops a short-run structural model of a small open financially repressed economy with current account convertibility. The analysis shows that the effect of financial liberalization on rate of inflation and the movements of the nominal exchange rate proves ambiguous, and hinges...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773210
The paper develops a short-run structural model of a small open financially repressed economy with current account convertibility. The analysis shows that the effect of financial liberalization on rate of inflation and the movements of the nominal exchange rate proves ambiguous, and hinges...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005168551