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1993:07 to 2005:06. We then forecast one- to six-months-ahead house prices over the forecast horizon of 2005:07 to 2007 …-of-sample forecast errors for middle and small middle segment houses, respectively. In addition, based on the priors used to estimate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005575044
the South African economy for the period 1970:1-2000:4, and then forecast GDP, consumption, investment, short and long … accurate forecasts than a loose one. The out-of-sample-forecast accuracy resulting from the Gibbs sampled BVECM is compared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773165
This paper develops a New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (NKDSGE) Model for forecasting the growth rate of output, inflation, and the nominal short-term interest rate (91-days Treasury Bills rate) for the South African economy. The model is estimated via maximum likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773171
This paper uses a version of Hansen’s (1985) Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model to forecast the South …-quarters-ahead out-of-sample forecast errors for the period of 2001:1 to 2005:4. The forecast errors are then compared with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773181
the Dornbusch (1976) model is re-estimated over the period of 1994:1-2003:4, and the out-of-sample forecast errors are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773184
the US economy, and then uses the model to forecast changes in labor income over the period of 1991:01 to 2008:03. First …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773197
prior produces relatively more accurate forecasts than a loose one. The out-of-sample-forecast accuracy resulting from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773206
rates, for the period of 1978 to 2000. The out-of-sample-forecast accuracy obtained from the BVECM, over the forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773209
prior produces relatively more accurate forecasts than a loose one. The out-of- sample-forecast accuracy resulting from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710036
This paper develops an estimable hybrid model that combines the theoretical rigor of a micro-founded DSGE model with the flexibility of an atheoretical VAR model. The model is estimated via maximum likelihood technique based on quarterly data on real Gross National Product (GNP), consumption,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710037