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outperforms others at all horizons for any of the variables, the Bayesian VARs and Bayesian Factor Augmented VAR models on average …
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This paper seeks to evaluate the appropriateness of a variety of existing forecasting techniques (17 methods) at providing accurate, and statistically significant forecasts for gold price. We report the results from the 9 most competitive techniques. Special consideration is given to the ability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011105516
This paper seeks to evaluate the appropriateness of a variety of existing forecasting techniques (17 methods) at providing accurate, and statistically significant forecasts for gold price. We report the results from the 9 most competitive techniques. Special consideration is given to the ability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010891026
This paper uses the Dynamic Factor Model (DFM) framework, which accommodates a large cross-section of macroeconomic time series for forecasting regional house price inflation. As a case study, we use data on house price inflation for five metropolitan areas of South Africa. The DFM used in this...
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alternative models such as an unrestricted VAR, Bayesian VARs (BVARs) and a typical New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General …
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over 2001Q1 to 2006Q4, indicate that the DFMs significantly outperform alternative models such as an unrestricted VAR …
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