Showing 211 - 220 of 220
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014288917
This paper is motivated by Bitcoin's rapid ascension into mainstream finance and recent evidence of a strong relationship between Bitcoin and US stock markets. It is also motivated by a lack of empirical studies on whether Bitcoin prices contain useful information for the volatility of US stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014289060
We utilize a Dynamic Factor Model with Stochastic Volatility to filter out the national factor from the local components of weekly state-level economic conditions indexes of the United States over the period of April 1987 to August 2021. Then, we forecast the state-level factors. The forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242089
This paper utilizes Bayesian (static) model averaging (BMA) and dynamic model averaging (DMA) incorporated into Markov-switching (MS) models to forecast business cycle turning points of the United States (US) with state-level climate risks data, proxied by temperature changes and its (realized)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242517
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014521259
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014521269
This paper estimates Bayesian Vector Autoregressive (BVAR) models, both spatial and non-spatial (univariate and multivariate), for the twenty largest states of the US economy, using quarterly data over the period 1976:Q1 to 1994:Q4; and then forecasts one-to-four quarters-ahead real house price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143041
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635879
In this paper, the dynamics of Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P 500) stock price index is analysed within a time-frequency framework over a monthly period 1791:08-2015:05. Using the Empirical Mode Decomposition technique, the S&P 500 stock price index is divided into different frequencies known as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432569
In this paper, the dynamics of Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P 500) stock price index is analysed within a time-frequency framework over a monthly period 1791:08-2015:05. Using the Empirical Mode Decomposition technique, the S&P 500 stock price index is divided into different frequencies known as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450319