Showing 1 - 10 of 458
Information on economic policy uncertainty (EPU) does matter in predicting oil returns especially when accounting for omitted nonlinearities in the relationship between these two variables via a time-varying coefficient approach. In this work, we compare the forecastability of standard, Bayesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011214021
Information on economic policy uncertainty (EPU) does matter in predicting oil returns especially when accounting for omitted nonlinearities in the relationship between these two variables via a time-varying coe¢ cient approach. In this work, we compare the forecastability of standard, Bayesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011234990
the random walk model, suggests that the forecasting performance of the monetary model is superior. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009370795
(Gaussian, Lasso-LARS, Lasso-Landweber) in forecasting the U.S. real house price growth. We also compare results with forecasts …-suited model for forecasting the U.S. real house price. Among the least square models, the individual regression with house price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010711933
interest about forecasting such imminent threats for economic stability. In this paper we propose a novel hybrid forecasting … Vector Regression (SVR) methodology that originates from machine learning. We test the forecasting ability of the proposed …-of-sample forecasting. Finally, we argue that this new methodology can be used as an early warning system for forecasting sudden house …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010891125
interest about forecasting such imminent threats for economic stability. In this paper we propose a novel hybrid forecasting … Vector Regression (SVR) methodology that originates from machine learning. We test the forecasting ability of the proposed …-of-sample forecasting. Finally, we argue that this new methodology can be used as an early warning system for forecasting sudden house …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010942822
walk model suggests that the forecasting performance of the monetary model is superior. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010436043
walk model suggests that the forecasting performance of the monetary model is superior. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009770376
generate recursive forecasts over 2000Q1-2011Q4. The hybrid DSGE performs extremely well in forecasting inflation variables …Inflation forecasts are a key ingredient for monetary policymaking - especially in an inflation targeting country such …. As such, other variables,e.g. such as alternative measures of inflation that might be of interest to policymakers, do not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754110
Inflation forecasts are a key ingredient for monetary policy-making -- especially in an inflation targeting country … variables. As such, other variables, e.g. such as alternative measures of inflation that might be of interest to policymakers … 1999Q4, and generate recursive forecasts over 2000Q1-2011Q4. The hybrid DSGE performs extremely well in forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072194