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This paper examines the predictive power of time-varying risk aversion over payoffs to the carry trade strategy via the … cross-quantilogram methodology. Our analysis yields significant evidence of directional predictability from risk aversion to … of risk aversion is found to be stronger during periods of moderate to high risk aversion and largely concentrated on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013199647
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661160
This paper examines the predictive power of time-varying risk aversion over payoffs to the carry trade strategy via the … cross-quantilogram methodology. Our analysis yields significant evidence of directional predictability from risk aversion to … of risk aversion is found to be stronger during periods of moderate to high risk aversion and largely concentrated on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012237397
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011428266
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431472
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299816
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348844
This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MSVAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443536
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011547577
This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MS-VAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554324