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Causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty in South Africa: evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model

Nasr, Adnen Ben; Balcilar, Mehmet; Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen; … - In: Emerging markets review 24 (2015), pp. 46-68

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538531

Do stock prices impact consumption and interest rate in South Africa? : evidence from a time-varying vector autoregressive model

Aye, Goodness C.; Gupta, Rangan; Modise, Mampho P. - In: Journal of emerging market finance 14 (2015) 2, pp. 176-196

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378505

Analyzing South Africa's inflation persistence using an arfima model with Markov-switching fractional differencing parameter

Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Jooste, Charl - In: The journal of developing areas 50 (2016) 1, pp. 47-57

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011576379

The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions : a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach

Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Segnon, Mawuli - 2016

This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MS-VAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554324