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Firstly, we use the Multi-Scale LPPLS Confidence Indicator approach to detectboth positive and negative bubbles at … that, our bubbles indicators,particularly when both positive and negative bubbles are considered simultaneously …
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A simple empirical nonlinear framework is used to analyse monetary policy between 1983 and 2007 in South Africa, focusing on the policy of in?ation targeting introduced in Feb 2000, more precisely when the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) announced that an inflation zone targeting regime of...
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Generalized supADF (GSADF) test procedure developed by Phillips et al. (Testing for multiple bubbles: Historical episodes of …
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The aim of this paper is to present novel tests for the early causal diagnostic of positive and negative bubbles in the … LPPLS (log-periodic power law singularity) approach successfully diagnoses positive and negative bubbles, constructs … efficient End-of-Bubble signals for all of the well-documented bubbles, and obtains for the first time new statistical evidence …
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