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In this paper the authors set out to date-stamp periods of US housing price explosivity for the period 1830–2013. They make use of several robust techniques that allow them to identify such periods by determining when prices start to exhibit explosivity with respect to its past behaviour and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011812671
In this paper, the authors set out to date-stamp periods of US housing price explosivity for the period 1830-2013. They make use of several robust techniques that allow them to identify such periods by determining when prices start to exhibit explosivity with respect to its past behaviour and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674010
This paper investigates whether changes in the monetary transmission mechanism as captured by the interest rate respond to variations in asset returns. We distinguish between low-volatility (bull) and high-volatility (bear) markets and employ a TVP-VAR approach with stochastic volatility to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007288
predictive ability over stock price crash risks. Market liquidity, on the other hand, is found to have robust predictive power … and liquidity are thus identified as two important factors contributing to the LPPLS-based bubble indicators. The evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931948
Firstly, we use the Multi-Scale LPPLS Confidence Indicator approach to detectboth positive and negative bubbles at short-, medium- and long-term horizons forthe stock markets of the G7 and the BRICS countries. We were able to detect majorcrashes and rallies in the 12 stock markets over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353907
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In this paper, we conduct a comprehensive investigation of the Halloween effect evolution in the US stock market over its entire history. We employ various statistical techniques (average analysis, Student's t-test, ANOVA, and the Mann-Whitney test) and the trading simulation approach to analyse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889672
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013412548