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Time variation in macro-financial linkages

Prieto, Esteban; Eickmeier, Sandra; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2013

We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to GDP growth in the US based on a Bayesian VAR with time-varying parameters estimated over 1958-2012. Our main findings are: (i) The contribution of financial shocks to GDP growth fluctuates from about 20 percent in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009739598

Monetary, fiscal and oil shocks : evidence based on mixed frequency structural FAVARs

Marcellino, Massimiliano; Sivec, Vasja - In: Journal of econometrics 193 (2016) 2, pp. 335-348

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704953

Monetary, fiscal and oil shocks : evidence based on mixed frequency structural favars

Marcellino, Massimiliano; Sivec, Vasja - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011289242

Classical time-varying FAVAR models : estimation, forecasting and structural analysis

Eickmeier, Sandra; Lemke, Wolfgang; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2011

the factor dynamics, and more marked variation in the factors' shock volatility and their loading parameters. Forecasts …-term interest rates to an equally-sized monetary policy shock has decreased since the early-1980s. -- FAVAR ; time …