Showing 1 - 10 of 43
It is an undisputed fact that weather risk increases over time due to climate change. However, qualification of this … statement with regard to the type of weather risk and geographical location is needed. We investigate the application of novel … statistical tools for assessing changes in weather risk over time. We apply local t-test, change point tests and Mann-Kendall test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009379509
and downside risk. Evidence from major advanced markets markets markets markets supports the supports the notion that … notion that notion that downside risk measured by value value value-at -risk ( risk (VaRVaRVaR) has significant information … moments of risk for for predict redict ing stock returns. stock returns. stock returns. stock returns. The e The e vidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437764
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000800790
We propose a general class of Markov-switching-ARFIMA processes in order to combine strands of long memory and Markov-switching literature. Although the coverage of this class of models is broad, we show that these models can be easily estimated with the DLV algorithm proposed. This algorithm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003633683
study the dynamics of the whole high-dimensional system with a low-dimensional representation. We illustrate the theory with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003633687
The volatility implied by observed market prices as a function of the strike and time to maturity form an Implied Volatility Surface (IVS). Practical applications require reducing the dimension and characterize its dynamics through a small number of factors. Such dimension reduction is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003633787
This paper offers a new method for estimation and forecasting of the linear and nonlinear time series when the stationarity assumption is violated. Our general local parametric approach particularly applies to general varying-coefficient parametric models, such as AR or GARCH, whose coefficients...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003635965
-term contracts. On the other hand, recent focus is on whether long memory can affect the measurement of market risk in the context of … Value-at- Risk (V aR). In this paper, we evaluate the Value-at-Risk (V aR) and Expected Shortfall (ESF) in financial markets … proper risk valuation of options, the degree of persistence should be investigated and appropriate models that incorporate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636008
In this paper we provide a review of copula theory with applications to finance. We illustrate the idea on the … allocation problems, Value-at-Risk and time series models. The paper is complemented with an extensive simulation study and an … application to financial data. -- Distribution functions ; dimension reduction ; risk management ; statistical models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727552
With the recent availability of high-frequency Financial data the long range dependence of volatility regained researchers' interest and has lead to the consideration of long memory models for realized volatility. The long range diagnosis of volatility, however, is usually stated for long sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796151