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Forecasting based pricing of Weather Derivatives (WDs) is a new approach in valuation of contingent claims on nontradable underlyings. Standard techniques are based on historical weather data. Forward-looking information such as meteorological forecasts or the implied market price of risk (MPR)...
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Weather influences our daily lives and choices and has an enormous impact on cooperate revenues and earnings. Weather derivatives differ from most derivatives in that the underlying weather cannot be traded and their market is relatively illiquid. The weather derivative market is therefore...
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with the estimation from the simulated process, though the BC method shows smaller deviations in case of high interest rate …
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estimation ; nonlinear least squares ; confidence intervals …
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This chapter deals with nonparametric estimation of the risk neutral density. We present three different approaches … conditional on the physical measure of the underlying asset. Via direct series type estimation of the pricing kernel we can derive …
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