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As observed in the financial crisis, CDS spreads tend to increase simutaneously as a reaction to common shocks. Focusing on the spillover effects triggered by extreme events, we propose a credit risk analysis tool by applying credit default swap spread returns to the concept of 4CoVaR suggested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354176
We present two methods based on functional principal component analysis (FPCA) for the estimation of smooth derivatives … decomposition to a) the dual covariance matrix of the derivatives, and b) the dual covariance matrix of the observed curves. To …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011530075
Modelling the dynamics of credit derivatives is a challenging task in finance and economics. The recent crisis has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009763975
It was evident that credit default swap (CDS) spreads have been highly correlated during the recent financial crisis. Motivated by this evidence, this study attempts to investigate the extent to which CDS markets across regions, maturities and credit ratings have integrated more in crisis. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399421
We examine what are common factors that determine systematic credit risk and estimate and interpret the common risk factors. We also compare the contributions of common factors in explaining the changes of credit default swap (CDS) spreads during the pre-crisis, crisis and post-crisis period....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009634306
Systemically important banks are connected and have dynamic dependencies of their default probabilities. An extraction of default factors from cross-sectional credit default swaps (CDS) curves allows to analyze the shape and the dynamics of the default probabilities. Extending the Dynamic Nelson...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011579056
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012194818
The introduction of derivatives on Bitcoin enables investors to hedge risk exposures in cryptocurrencies. Because of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012802570
Market option prices in last 20 years confirmed deviations from the Black and Scholes (BS) models assumptions, especially on the BS implied volatility. Implied binomialtrees (IBT) models capture the variations of the implied volatility known as \volatility smile". They provide a discrete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860517
Option prices are a valuable source of information concerning risk assessments from investors about future financial payoffs. The information is summarized in the state price densities (SPD), the continuous counterpart (normalized by a constant) from Arrow-Debreu security prices. Under no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861030