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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964613
In the present paper we propose a new method, the Penalized Adaptive Method (PAM), for a data driven detection of structure changes in sparse linear models. The method is able to allocate the longest homogeneous intervals over the data sample and simultaneously choose the most proper variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714497
characterized by volatility clustering and asymmetry. Also revealed as a stylized fact is Long memory or long range dependence in … market volatility, with significant impact on pricing and forecasting of market volatility. The implication is that models … that accomodate long memory hold the promise of improved long-run volatility forecast as well as accurate pricing of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636008
financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVR in volatility forecasting. Based on a recurrent SVR, a GARCH … to forecast financial markets volatility. The real data in this study uses British Pound-US Dollar (GBP) daily exchange … examined to the free parameters. Keywords: recurrent support vector regression ; GARCH model ; volatility forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636113
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003989791
This paper presents presents presents a fractionally cointegrated vector autoregression (FCVAR) (FCVAR) (FCVAR) (FCVAR) model to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine various relations between stock returns and downside risk. Evidence from major advanced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437764
different lexica sentiment variables. These are employed for an analysis of stock reactions: volatility, volume and returns. An … increased (negative) sentiment will influence volatility as well as volume. This influence is contingent on the lexical … produce stock reaction indicators, including volatility, detrended log trading volume and return? (ii) To which degree is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471736
We examine what are common factors that determine systematic credit risk and estimate and interpret the common risk factors. We also compare the contributions of common factors in explaining the changes of credit default swap (CDS) spreads during the pre-crisis, crisis and post-crisis period....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009634306
time diffusion models ; models with jumps ; stochastic volatility ; GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973644
time series ; semiparametric model ; k-NN estimation ; local polynomial regression ; volatility forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663388