Showing 1 - 10 of 389
In this paper we propose a new measure for systemic risk: the Financial Risk Meter (FRM). This measure is based on the … parameters over the 100 largest US publicly traded financial institutions. We demonstrate the suitability of this risk measure by … comparing the proposed FRM to other measures for systemic risk, such as VIX, SRISK and Google Trends. We find that mutual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011598919
A great proportion of stock dynamics can be explained using publicly available information. The relationship between dynamics and public information may be of nonlinear character. In this paper we offer an approach to stock picking by employing so-called decision trees and applying them to XETRA...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636039
and downside risk. Evidence from major advanced markets markets markets markets supports the supports the notion that … notion that notion that downside risk measured by value value value-at -risk ( risk (VaRVaRVaR) has significant information … moments of risk for for predict redict ing stock returns. stock returns. stock returns. stock returns. The e The e vidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437764
. Based on these active risk factors, an adjustment for intertemporal dependency is made. The authors extend TEDAS methodology … to three gestalts differing in allocation weights’ determination: a Cornish-Fisher Value-at-Risk minimization, Markowitz …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349525
We propose a semiparametric measure to estimate systemic interconnectedness across financial institutions based on tail-driven spill-over effects in a ultra-high dimensional framework. Methodologically, we employ a variable selection technique in a time series setting in the context of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010428185
We propose a local adaptive multiplicative error model (MEM) accommodating timevarying parameters. MEM parameters are adaptively estimated based on a sequential testing procedure. A data-driven optimal length of local windows is selected, yielding adaptive forecasts at each point in time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009526607
A flexible statistical approach for the analysis of time-varying dynamics of transaction data on financial markets is here applied to intra-day trading strategies. A local adaptive technique is used to successfully predict financial time series, i.e., the buyer and the seller-initiated trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374563
Equity basket correlation is an important risk factor. It characterizes the strength of linear dependence between … return series, and under the risk neutral measure from option prices. The difference between the two estimates motivates a so … dynamic semiparametric factor model (DSFM). -- correlation risk ; dimension reduction ; dispersion strategy ; dynamic factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009665551
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964613
bond risk premia modelling, the locally selected variables and their estimated coefficient loadings identified the longest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714497