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News carry information of market moves. The gargantuan plethora of opinions, facts and tweets on financial business offers the opportunity to test and analyze the influence of such text sources on future directions of stocks. It also creates though the necessity to distill via statistical...
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Analysis of monthly disaggregated data from 1978 to 2016 on US household in ation expectations reveals that exposure to … household personal characteristics, their perceptions of the e ectiveness of government policies, their expectations of future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657291
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Publications are a vital element of any scientist’s career. It is not only the number of media outlets but aslo the quality of published research that enters decisions on jobs, salary, tenure, etc. Academic ranking scales in economics and other disciplines are, therefore, widely used in...
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Inflation expectation is acknowledged to be an important indicator for policy makers and financial investors. To capture a more accurate real-time estimate of inflation expectation on the basis of financial markets, we propose an arbitrage-free model across different countries in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389060
problem incurred in our estimating procedure, and derive oracle bounds for the estimation error in a realistic situation where …
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, we derive nonasymptotic oracle bounds for the estimation error, and develope an efficient proximal gradient algorithm for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011296776
In the present paper we propose a new method, the Penalized Adaptive Method (PAM), for a data driven detection of structure changes in sparse linear models. The method is able to allocate the longest homogeneous intervals over the data sample and simultaneously choose the most proper variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714497