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financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVR in volatility forecasting. Based on a recurrent SVR, a GARCH … to forecast financial markets volatility. The real data in this study uses British Pound-US Dollar (GBP) daily exchange … examined to the free parameters. Keywords: recurrent support vector regression ; GARCH model ; volatility forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636113
This paper provides statistical learning techniques for determining the full own-price market impact and the relevance and effect of cross-price and cross-asset spillover channels from intraday transactions data. The novel tools allow extracting comprehensive information contained in the limit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012614016
The volatility implied by observed market prices as a function of the strike and time to maturity form an Implied … Volatility Surface (IVS). Practical applications require reducing the dimension and characterize its dynamics through a small … investigating long range dependence in the factor loadings series. Our result reveals that shocks to volatility persist for a very …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003633787
characterized by volatility clustering and asymmetry. Also revealed as a stylized fact is Long memory or long range dependence in … market volatility, with significant impact on pricing and forecasting of market volatility. The implication is that models … that accomodate long memory hold the promise of improved long-run volatility forecast as well as accurate pricing of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636008
The analysis of diffusion processes in financial models is crucially dependent on the form of the drift and diffusion coefficient functions. A methodology is proposed for estimating and testing coefficient functions for ergodic diffusions that are not directly observable. It is based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613611
time diffusion models ; models with jumps ; stochastic volatility ; GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973644
The behaviour of market agents has always been extensively covered in the literature. Risk averse behaviour, described by von Neumann and Morgenstern (1944) via a concave utility function, is considered to be a cornerstone of classical economics. Agents prefer a fixed profit over uncertain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003635940
With the recent availability of high-frequency Financial data the long range dependence of volatility regained … researchers' interest and has lead to the consideration of long memory models for realized volatility. The long range diagnosis of … volatility, however, is usually stated for long sample periods, while for small sample sizes, such as e.g. one year, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796151
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003989791
Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026