Showing 1 - 10 of 45
Originating from cooperative game theory, Shapley values have become one of the most widely used measures for variable importance in applied Machine Learning. However, the statistical understanding of Shapley values is still limited. In this paper, we take a nonparametric (or smoothing)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237071
In this paper, we conduct simultaneous inference of the non-parametric part of a partially linear model when the non-parametric component is a multivariate unknown function. Based on semi-parametric estimates of the model, we construct a simultaneous confidence region of the multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827855
-estimation is traditionally done using an empirical conditional distribution function, we propose to use instead a smoothed … conditional distribution function. The asymptotic distribution of the proposed estimator is derived under mild B-mixing conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012733867
This paper offers a new method for estimation and forecasting of the linear and nonlinear time series when the stationarity assumption is violated. Our general local parametric approach particularly applies to general varying-coefficient parametric models, such as AR or GARCH, whose coefficients...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729919
Estimation or mis-specification errors in the portfolio loss distribution can have a considerable impact on risk … measures. This paper investigates the sensitivity of tail-related risk measures including the Value-at-Risk, expected shortfall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915185
Decision making usually involves uncertainty and risk. Understanding which parts of the human brain are activated … during decisions under risk and which neural processes underly (risky) investment decisions are important goals in …-related activations in space and dynamics in time. Further, we classify the risk attitudes of all subjects based on the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009364994
It is an undisputed fact that weather risk increases over time due to climate change. However, qualification of this … statement with regard to the type of weather risk and geographical location is needed. We investigate the application of novel … statistical tools for assessing changes in weather risk over time. We apply local t-test, change point tests and Mann-Kendall test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014123486
Weekly, quarterly and yearly risk measures are crucial for risk reporting according to Basel III and Solvency II. For … sufficient in order to estimate Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall sufficiently, given confidence levels of 99.9% and 99 … obtain significantly more data points for the estimation of the respective risk measures. The presented methodology in the α …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827639
Risk management and the thorough understanding of the relations betweenfinancial markets and the standard theory of … relative risk aversion) using stocks and options data... …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005854712
It is common practice to identify the number and sources of shocks that move implied volatilities across space and time by applying Principal Components Analysis (PCA) to pooled covariance matrices of changes in implied volatilities. This approach, however, is likely to result in a loss of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010983841