Motivated by increment process modeling for two correlated random and non-random systems from a discrete-time asset pricing with both risk free asset and risky security, we propose a class of semi-parametric regressions for a combination of a non-random and a random system. Unlike classical...

Penalized spline smoothing of time series and its asymptotic properties are studied. A data-driven algorithm for selecting the smoothing parameter is developed. The proposal is applied to define a semiparametric extension of the well-known Spline-GARCH, called a P-Spline-GARCH, based on the...

High-dimensional, streaming datasets are ubiquitous in modern applications. Examples range from finance and e-commerce to the study of biomedical and neuro-imaging data. As a result, many novel algorithms have been proposed to address challenges posed by such datasets. In this work, we focus on...

In this paper, we conduct simultaneous inference of the non-parametric part of a partially linear model when the non-parametric component is a multivariate unknown function. Based on semi-parametric estimates of the model, we construct a simultaneous confidence region of the multivariate...

In this paper bootstrap confidence bands are constructed for nonparametric quantile estimates of regression functions, where resampling is done from a suitably estimated empirical distribution function (edf) for residuals. It is known that the approximation error for the confidence band by the...

A portfolio allocation method based on linear and non-linear latent constrained conditional factors is presented. The factor loadings are constrained to always be positive in order to obtain long-only portfolios, which is not guaranteed by classical factor analysis or PCA. In addition, the...

It is an undisputed fact that weather risk increases over time due to climate change. However, qualification of this statement with regard to the type of weather risk and geographical location is needed. We investigate the application of novel statistical tools for assessing changes in weather...

The class of Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) is a powerful tool which has been well studied. It helps to identify additive regression structure that can be determined even more sharply via test procedures when some component functions have a parametric form. Generalized Additive Partially...

Weekly, quarterly and yearly risk measures are crucial for risk reporting according to Basel III and Solvency II. For the respective data frequencies, the authors show in a simulation and back-test study that available data series are not sufficient in order to estimate Value at Risk and...

The distribution of treatment eects extends the prevailing focus on average treatment eects to the tails of the outcome variable and quantile treatment eects denote the predominant technique to compute those eects in the presence of a confounding mechanism. The underlying quantile regression is...