Kevin Hoover and Stephen Perez take important steps towards resolving some key issues in econometric methodology. They simulate general-to-specific selection for linear, dynamic regression models, and find that their algorithm performs well in re-mining the ?Lovell database?. We discuss...

While there has been a great deal of interest in the modelling of non-linearities in economic time series, there is no clear consensus regarding the forecasting abilities of non-linear time-series models. We evaluate the performance of two leading non-linear models in forecasting post-war US...