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We examine "Forward Guidance Contracts", which make central bankers' utility contingent on the precision of interest-rate forecasts for some time. Such Forward Guidance Contracts are a exible commitment device and can improve economic performance when the economy is stuck in a liquidity trap....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528970
signaling incentives under opacity. Our model may also explain the recent trend towards more transparency in monetary policy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008746680
We introduce a new type of incentive contract for central bankers: inflation forecast contracts, which make central bankers’ remunerations contingent on the precision of their inflation forecasts. We show that such contracts enable central bankers to influence inflation expectations more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009236277
output above its long-run level. Transparency of central banks about economic shocks has ambiguous e ects on welfare. If an … extreme level of opacity is feasible, it represents the social optimum. Otherwise full transparency may be a second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003761371
In this paper we assess whether forward guidance for monetary policy regarding the future path of interest rates is desirable. We distinguish between two cases where forward guidance for monetary policy may be helpful. First, forward guidance may reveal private information of the central bank....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003761386
Leaks are pervasive in politics. Hence, many committees that nominally operate under secrecy de facto operate under the threat that information might be passed on to outsiders. We study theoretically and experimentally how this possibility affects the behavior of committee members and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295187