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It is well-known that if the forcing variable of a present value (PV) model is an integrated process, then the model will give rise to a particular cointegrating restriction. In this paper we demonstrate that if the PV relation is exact, such that no additive error term appears in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012791648
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10006880578
We suggest how to redefine the multicointegration model of Granger and Lee (1990) in terms of an I(2) system and subsequently propose a one-step procedure for estimation and inference which will have favourable statistical properties compared to the two-step procedure suggested by Granger and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014073412
In this paper long-run forecasting of multicointegrating variables is investigated. Multicointegration typically occurs in dynamic systems involving both stock and flow variables whereby a common feature in the form of shared stochastic trends is present across different levels of multiple time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014104751