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Building world narratives for climate change impact, adaptation and vulnerability analyses
Hallegatte, Stéphane; Valentin, Przyluski; … - HAL - 2011
The impacts of climate change on human systems depend not only on the level of emissions but also on how inherently vulnerable these systems are to the changing climate. The large uncertainties over future development and structure of societies and economies mean that the assessment of climate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009372639
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Flood Risks, Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Benefits in Mumbai: An Initial Assessment of Socio-Economic Consequences of Present and Climate Change Induced Flood Risks and of...
Hallegatte, Stéphane; Henriet, Fanny; Patwardhan, Anand; … - Environment Directorate, Organisation de Coopération … - 2010
Managing risks from extreme events will be a crucial component of climate change adaptation. In this study, we … demonstrate an approach to assess future risks and quantify the benefits of adaptation options at a city-scale, with application … limited share of total losses but a large shock for poor households. The analysis also demonstrates that adaptation could …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008726892
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Investment Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty : Application to Climate Change
Hallegatte, Stéphane - 2012
While agreeing on the choice of an optimal investment decision is already difficult for any diverse group of actors, priorities, and world views, the presence of deep uncertainties further challenges the decision-making framework by questioning the robustness of all purportedly optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011395478
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Investment decision making under deep uncertainty application to climate change
Hallegatte, Stéphane; Shah, Ankur; Lempert, Robert J.; … - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616257
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Building SSPs for climate policy analysis: A scenario elicitation methodology to map the space of possible future challenges to mitigation and adaptation
Rozenberg, Julie; Guivarch, Céline; Lempert, Robert; … - 2012
) to replace the SRES scenarios. To be used to investigate adaptation and mitigation, SSPs need to be contrasted along two … axes: challenges to mitigation, and challenges to adaptation. This paper proposes a methodology to develop SSPs with a … adaptation challenges; (ii) a modelling exercise to transform these drivers into a large set of scenarios; (iii) an a posteriori …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294311
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Downscaling long term socio-economic scenarios at city scale : a case study on Paris
Viguié, Vincent; Hallegatte, Stéphane; Rozenberg, Julie - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 87 (2014), pp. 305-324
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010481286
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Building SSPs for climate policy analysis: a scenario elicitation methodology to map the space of possible future challenges to mitigation and adaptation
Rozenberg, Julie; Guivarch, Céline; Lempert, Robert; … - HAL - 2014
) that will be contrasted along two axes: challenges to mitigation, and challenges to adaptation. This paper proposes a … and adaptation challenges; (ii) a modelling exercise to transform these drivers into a large set of scenarios; (iii) an a … important towards explaining future difference in challenges to adaptation and mitigation. The results also demonstrate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820726
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Building SSPs for Climate Policy Analysis: A Scenario Elicitation Methodology to Map the Space of Possible Future Challenges to Mitigation and Adaptation
Rozenberg, Julie; Guivarch, Céline; Lempert, Robert; … - Fondazione ENI Enrico Mattei (FEEM) - 2012
) to replace the SRES scenarios. To be used to investigate adaptation and mitigation, SSPs need to be contrasted along two … axes: challenges to mitigation, and challenges to adaptation. This paper proposes a methodology to develop SSPs with a … adaptation challenges; (ii) a modelling exercise to transform these drivers into a large set of scenarios; (iii) an a posteriori …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010561651
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Revised estimates of the impact of climate change on extreme poverty by 2030 : Poverty and Shared Prosperity 2020 background paper
Jafino, Bramka Arga; Walsh, Brian; Rozenberg, Julie; … - 2020
Thousands of scenarios are used to provide updated estimates for the impacts of climate change on extreme poverty in 2030. The range of the number of people falling into poverty due to climate change is between 32 million and 132 million in most scenarios. These results are commensurate with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388738
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Instrument choice and stranded assets in the transition to clean capital
Rozenberg, Julie; Vogt-Schilb, Adrien; Hallegatte, Stéphane - 2017 - This version: March 2017
To mitigate climate change, some governments opt for instruments focused on investment, like performance standards or feebates, instead of carbon prices. We compare these policies in a Ramsey model with clean and polluting capital, irreversible investment and a climate constraint. Alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662054