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This article attempts to examine whether the equity premium in the United States can be predicted from a com-prehensive set of 18 economic and financial predictors over a monthly out-of-sample period of 2000:2 to 2011:12, using an in-sample period of 1990:2-2000:1. To do so, we consider, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010936606
This article attempts to examine whether the equity premium in the United States can be predicted from a comprehensive set of 18 economic and financial predictors over a monthly out-of-sample period of 2000:2 to 2011:12, using an in-sample period of 1990:2-2000:1. To do so, we consider, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754801
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011690405
This paper examines the relationship between oil price movements and systemic risk of many financial institutions in major petroleum-based economies. We estimate ΔcoVaR for those institutions and thereby observe the presence of elevated increases in the levels corresponding to the subprime and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064299
This paper examines the relationship between systemic risk measures across 546 financial institutions in major petroleum-based economies and oil movements. In this paper, we follow two steps. In the first step, we estimate the delta conditional VaR (CoVaR) for the financial institutions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662132
This paper examines the relationship between oil price movements and systemic risk of many financial institutions in major petroleum-based economies. We estimate ΔCoVaR for those institutions and thereby observe the presence of elevated increases in the levels corresponding to the subprime and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012062097
volatility models, the time-varying causality between spot and futures crude oil prices: a regime switching approach, a regime … approach to constructing price-based funding liquidity factors, realized range volatility forecasting: dynamic features and … measurement of systemic risk: an application of CoVaR, model-free volatility indexes in the financial literature: a review, robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366930
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887968
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012820834
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008655098