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of interest. Max-min expected utility over that set gives rise to equilibrium prices of model uncertainty expressed as … a baseline model that generate countercyclical prices of uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895157
asset pricing uncertainty premia and design of robust macroeconomic policies. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025622
A representative investor confronts two levels of model uncertainty. The investor has a set of well defined parametric … into marginal valuations that induce time variations in market prices of uncertainty. These arise because the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014123716
We create an analytical structure that reveals the long-run risk-return relationship for nonlinear continuous-time Markov environments. We do so by studying an eigenvalue problem associated with a positive eigenfunction for a conveniently chosen family of valuation operators. The members of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708832
method for approximating solutions of dynamic stochastic problems and (2) to quantify the effects on decisions of uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010573997
We create an analytical structure that reveals the long-run risk-return relationship for nonlinear continuous-time Markov environments. We do so by studying an eigenvalue problem associated with a positive eigenfunction for a conveniently chosen family of valuation operators. The members of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008551634
A decision maker is averse to not knowing a prior over a set of restricted structured models (ambiguity) and suspects that each structured model is misspecified. The decision maker evaluates intertemporal plans under all of the structured models and, to recognize possible misspecifications,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850959
analysis to address underlying model uncertainty in both economic and climate dynamics. Third, we allow climate change to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014150513
We use decision theory to confront uncertainty that is sufficiently broad to incorporate “models as approximations.” We …. The decision maker confronts uncertainty through the lens of these models, but also views these models as simplifications …, and hence, as misspecified. We extend the max-min analysis under model ambiguity to incorporate the uncertainty induced by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247388
The design and conduct of climate change policy necessarily confronts uncertainty along multiple fronts. We explore the … economically motivated approach to uncertainty quantification. We show how this approach reduces the many facets of uncertainty … into a low dimensional characterization that depends on the uncertainty aversion of a decision-maker or fictitious social …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217688