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which human lives and the economy are at stake, we argue that using ideas and constructs from modern decision theory, even …
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A decision maker suspects that parameters of a set of structured parametric probability models vary over time in … probability models to be statistically close to the structured parametric models. Because the decision maker is averse to … ambiguity, he uses a max-min criterion to evaluate alternative plans. We use this decision theory to construct competitive …
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This paper uses insights from decision theory under uncertainty to explore research challenges in climate economics. We … embrace a broad perspective of uncertainty with three components: risk (probabilities assigned by a given model), ambiguity … for using models to provide policy guidance. The uncertainty components and their implications for decision theory help us …
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the long-term implications for risk pricing. This measure is typically distinct from the physical and the risk neutral … observational implications of risk adjustments and investor beliefs as reflected in asset market data; ii) catalog alternative forms … of misspecification of parametric valuation models; and iii) characterize how long-term components of growth-rate risk …
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We must infer what the future situation would be without our interference, and what changes will be wrought by our actions. Fortunately, or unfortunately, none of these processes is infallible, or indeed ever accurate and complete. Knight (1921)
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