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Population demographics impact both the time-series and cross-section of expected asset returns. A number of theories link the average age of a population to expected market returns. For example, Bakshi and Chen (1994) argue that an older population will demand a higher premium on equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705895
A mechanical rebalancing strategy, such as a monthly or quarterly reallocation towards fixed portfolio weights, is an active strategy. Winning asset classes are sold and losers are bought. During crises, when markets are often trending, this can lead to substantially larger drawdowns than a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893403
The existing replication policies at top finance journals are far weaker than the policies at top economics journals. This paper explores both the costs and benefits of having a stronger replication policy in the context of my failed 2010 initiative to develop a unified policy across all top...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867841
We contrast the time-series and cross-sectional performance of three popular investment strategies: carry, momentum and value. While considerable research has examined the performance of these strategies in either a directional or cross-asset settings, we offer some insights on the market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822381
In the late stages of long bull markets, a popular question arises: What steps can an investor take to mitigate the impact of the inevitable large equity correction? However, hedging equity portfolios is notoriously difficult and expensive. We analyze the performance of different tools that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871175
While a routinely rebalanced portfolio such as a 60-40 equity-bond mix is commonly employed by many investors, most do not understand that the rebalancing strategy adds risk. Rebalancing is similar to starting with a buy and hold portfolio and adding a short straddle (selling both a call and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048271
Our paper explores the link between cross-sectional fund return dispersion and performance evaluation. The foundation of our model is the simple intuition that in periods of high return dispersion, which is associated with high levels of idiosyncratic risk for zero-alpha funds, it is easier for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899749
Using a sample that post-dates important regulatory changes in Europe, we show that a buy recommendation from an analyst on a “consensus sell” stock is, on average, sufficient to cause the stock to start to rise in value. Similarly, a sell recommendation on a “consensus buy” stock can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146416
Stock characteristics have two sources of predictive power. First, a characteristic might be valuable in identifying high or low expected returns across industries. Second, a characteristic might be useful in identifying individual stock expected returns within an industry. Past studies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321780
In March 2021, Campbell Harvey spoke with members of the Journal of Investment Consulting editorial advisory board about quantitative investment strategies. Taking part in the discussion were Inna Okounkova, Columbia University and editor-in-chief of the Journal; Mark J. P. Anson, The Commonfund;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406650