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%) and 28% (33%), respectively. Today's high real price of gold suggests that gold is an expensive inflation-hedge with a low …Currently the real, inflation-adjusted, price of gold is almost as high as it was in January 1980 and August 2011 …. Since 1975, periods of high real gold prices have occurred during periods of elevated concern about high future price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826464
investment opportunity. Gold has been described as an inflation hedge, a “golden constant”, with a long run real return of zero …Gold objects have existed for thousands of years but for many investors gold has only recently become a tradable …. Yet over 1, 5, 10, 15 and 20 year investment horizons the variation in the nominal and real returns of gold has not been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036842
Over the 2016-2019 period, we released a series of research papers on the topic of “strategic risk management”, or the embedding of risk management into investment strategy design. We show that key risk controls that we introduced materially helped during the sharp equity market selloff in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827956
We apply state-of-the-art Bayesian machine learning to test whether we can extract valuable information from analysts' recommendations of stock performance. We use a probabilistic model for independent Bayesian classifier combination that has been successfully applied in both the physical and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897756
statistic is rarely calculated, perhaps because it is path dependent and estimated with greater uncertainty. In practice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836049
Machine learning offers a set of powerful tools that holds considerable promise for investment management. As with most quantitative applications in finance, the danger of misapplying these techniques can lead to disappointment. One crucial limitation involves data availability. Many of machine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908622
Both Kosowski et al. (2006) and Fama and French (2010) evaluate whether mutual funds outperform, but their conclusions are very different. We reconcile their findings. We show that the Fama and French method suffers from an undersampling problem that leads to a failure to reject the null...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323960
We provide practical insights for investors seeking exposure to the growing cryptocurrency space. Today, crypto is much more than just bitcoin, which historically dominated the space but accounted for just a 21% share of total crypto trading volume in 2021. We discuss a wide variety of tokens,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405854
In this era of inexpensive computation and vast data, systematic, or algorithmically driven, investment is increasingly popular. Systematic strategies appear in stand-alone products as well in tail-hedging and defensive-overlay strategies. Indeed, given the enormous growth in data, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238858
Incentives distort research findings. We now know that research findings favorable to the sponsor of the research should be discounted on the grounds of conflict of interest (e.g., tobacco companies or pharma companies). Is the same true in the field of finance? I argue that economic incentives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213636