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autoregressive processes revealing time-varying stochastic volatility. The factor volatilities capture risk inherent to the term … additional determinants of future excess returns. Finally, we illustrate that the yield and volatility factors are closely con … ; yield curve risk ; stochastic volatility ; factor models ; macroeconomic fundamentals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770770
In this paper, we review the most common specifications of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models and … indices and foreign exchange rates. -- Stochastic volatility ; Markov chain Monte Carlo ; Metropolis-Hastings algorithm Jump …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770817
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008906921
capturing interest rate risk. The so-called Stochastic Volatility Nelson-Siegel (SVNS) model allows for stochastic volatility in … evidence for time-varying volatility in the yield factors. This is mostly true for the level and slope volatility revealing … also the highest persistence. It turns out that the inclusion of stochastic volatility improves the model's goodness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952795
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009754008
risk. The so-called Stochastic Volatility Nelson–Siegel (SVNS) model allows for stochastic volatility in the underlying …-varying volatility in the yield factors is found. The inclusion of stochastic volatility improves the model's goodness-of-fit and clearly … reduces the forecasting uncertainty, particularly in low-volatility periods. The proposed approach is shown to work …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138979
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003354109
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001946172
This paper introduces a new framework for the dynamic modelling of univariate and multivariate point processes. The so-called latent factor intensity (LFI) model is based on the assumption that the intensity function consists of univariate or multivariate observation driven dynamic components...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014066098
differences of opinion is left, and hence volatility is decreased. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544322