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Forecasting aggregate period birth rates : the time series properties of a microdynamic neoclassical model of fertility

Heckman, James J.; Walker, James R. - 1989

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000774916

Forecasting Aggregate Period Specific Birth Rates : The Time Series Properties of a Microdynamic Neoclassical Model of Fertility

Heckman, James J. - 1989

This article demonstrates the value of microdata for understanding the effect of wages on life cycle fertility dynamics. Conventional estimates of neoclassical economic fertility models obtained from linear aggregate time series regressions are widely criticized for being nonrobust when adjusted...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475910

Forecasting Aggregate Period Specific Birth Rates : the Time Series Properties of a Microdynamic Neoclassical Model of Fertility

Heckman, James J.; Walker, James R. - 2022

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080654

Decomposing trends in inequality in earnings into forecastable and uncertain components

Cunha, Flávio; Heckman, James J. - In: Journal of labor economics 34 (2016) 2, pp. 31-65

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664522

Causal analysis after Haavelmo

Heckman, James J.; Pinto, Rodrigo - 2013

Haavelmo's seminal 1943 paper is the first rigorous treatment of causality. In it, he distinguished the definition of … Acyclic Graphs (DAG) used in one influential recent approach to causality (Pearl, 2000) and in the related literature on … causality, a central contribution of Haavelmo (1944). In general cases, DAGs cannot be used to analyze models for simultaneous …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010194763

Child development and parental investment : introduction

Francesconi, Marco; Heckman, James J. - In: The economic journal : the journal of the Royal … 126 (2016) 596, pp. 1-27

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011627607

Skill policies for Scotland

Heckman, James J. (contributor); … - 2004

This paper argues that skill formation is a life-cycle process and develops the implications of this insight for Scottish social policy. Families are major producers of skills, and a successful policy needs to promote effective families and to supplement failing ones. We present evidence that...