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We investigate the connections between some specific commodity prices and global macroeconomic performance in a two-stage approach. At the first stage we employ machine learning techniques to identify from a large set of globally traded commodities the ones with the strongest predictive power on...
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In this paper, we construct a new disaggregated net financial wealth data set for the OECD and some emerging markets countries. We find that since the beginning of 1990s, the net wealth positions of countries have developed differently. First, for a group of central and northern European...
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We incorporate the division of income between capital and labor into analysis on the relationship between inequality and growth. Using historical data, we document that changes in the top 1 % income shares are positively associated with subsequent growth of per capita GDP when the capital share...
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