The Special Safeguard Mechanism (SSM) was a key issue in the July 2008 failure to reach agreement in the WTO negotiations under the Doha Development Agenda. It includes both price (P-SSM) and quantity-triggered measures (Q-SSM). This paper uses a stochastic simulation model of the world wheat...

2010 AAEA Presidential Address; forthcoming in January 2011 AJAE in shortened version.

The Special Safeguard Mechanism (SSM) was a key issue in the July 2008 failure to reach agreement in the WTO negotiations under the Doha Development Agenda. It includes both price (P-SSM) and quantity-triggered measures (Q-SSM). This paper uses a stochastic simulation model of the world wheat...

"Program" yields for individual farmers are utilized in determining the amount of deficiency payments individual farmers receive. They have been frozen since the 1985 Food Security Act (FSA). However, some farm groups are pressing for unfreezing these yields so that actual yields could be...

Corn producers frequently have been told that the sugar program provides an important stimulus to corn demand through its positive influence on the high fructose corn syrup sector. In this article we qualify the extent of this support and find it to be very small- not more than 3 cents per...

This paper aims to shed light on the potential interests of developing countries in reforms to domestic support for agriculture in the OECD economies. In order to accomplish this goal, we begin by reviewing the literature on the impacts of domestic support on key variables, including farm...

Climate volatility will increase in the future, with agricultural productivity expected to become increasingly volatile as well. For Tanzania, where food production and prices are sensitive to the climate, rising climate volatility can have severe implications for poverty. We develop and use an...

This paper seeks to understand the main sources of uncertainty in assessing the impacts of climate change on agricultural output, international trade, and poverty. We incorporate biophysical uncertainty by sampling from a distribution of productivity shocks reflecting the impacts of climate on...

Paper removed by authors for revision - 3/13/08.