Herwartz, Helmut; Weber, Henning - Sonderforschungsbereich 373, Quantifikation und … - 2003
volatility and trade has been ignored yet. In addition, widely used regression models have not been evaluated in terms of ex …-ante forecasting. In this paper we analyze the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on specific categories of exports and imports for 13 …. Parametric threshold models are found to outperform linear regression models in terms of fitting and ex-ante forecasting. In …