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performance of competing models in forecasting is used to assess the adequacy of a specific model. To account for nonstationarity … considerably but in most cases under study this model class involves a loss in ex-ante forecasting relative to nonperiodic models … and Swedish data forecasting exercises yield a unique recommendation of unit roots in consumption and income data which is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612971
GARCH specifications have been widely applied in financial literature and practice. For purposes of (Quasi) ML (QML) estimation innovations to GARCH processes are assumed identically and independently distributed (iid) with mean zero and unit variance. In this note GARCH innovations entering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301705
means of conditional moments of simulated bivariate standardized copula distributions. We conduct in-sample forecasting … on the basis of their one-step ahead forecasting performance. With regard to forecast unbiasedness and precision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292668
means of conditional moments of simulated bivariate standardized copula distributions. We conduct in-sample forecasting … on the basis of their one-step ahead forecasting performance. With regard to forecast unbiasedness and precision … distributions ; expected shortfall ; GARCH ; model selection ; non-Gaussian innovations ; risk forecasting ; value-at-risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009723920
means of conditional moments of simulated bivariate standardized copula distributions. We conduct in-sample forecasting … on the basis of their one-step ahead forecasting performance. With regard to forecast unbiasedness and precision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084434
performance of competing models in forecasting is used to assess the adequacy of a specific model. To account for nonstationarity … considerably but in most cases under study this model class involves a loss in ex-ante forecasting relative to nonperiodic models … and Swedish data forecasting exercises yield a unique recommendation of unit roots in consumption and income data which is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014193101
traders. Moreover, we document forecasting results based on a short horizon trading strategy. The proposed model is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011085114
means of conditional moments of simulated bivariate standardized copula distributions. We conduct in-sample forecasting … on the basis of their one-step ahead forecasting performance. With regard to forecast unbiasedness and precision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010632797
as semiparametric time series models are evaluated in terms of fitting and ex ante forecasting. The overall impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296439
as semiparametric time series models are evaluated in terms of fitting and ex ante forecasting. The overall impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956374