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We quantify the causal link between exchange rate movements and sovereign risk of 16 major emerging market economies (EMEs) by means of structural vector autoregressive models (SVARs) using data from 10/2004 through 12/2016. We apply a novel data based identification approach of the structural...
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We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is the main driver of currency excess returns. The...
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behind narrative sign restrictions and allows to extract time varying contemporaneous effects and volatility transmission … from conventional reduced form volatility models with dynamic correlations. We find the market value of banking …
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of heavily traded at the money options. -- GARCH ; Foreign exchange market volatility ; Structural stability … - 1998, namely FX-rates measured against the US dollar (USD) and the Japanese yen (JPY). Ta account for volatility e1ustering … we fit a GARCH(l,l)-model with leptokurtic innovations. Its parameters are not stable over the sample period and two …
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Multivariate Volatility Models belong to the class of nonlinear models for financial data. Here we want to focus on … multivariate GARCH models. These models assume that the variance of the innovation distribution follows a time dependent process … univariate GARCH specifications where cross sectional dependecies are ignored. Moreover, to illustrate the scope of the bivariate …
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