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pandemic. We find that the MS-C-MGARCH model outperforms benchmark volatility models (MGARCH, C-MGARCH) in predicting expected …
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exchange the paper compares estimation results of parametric and nonparametric autoregressive models with respect to possible …
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We evaluate the informational content of ex post and ex ante predictors of periods of excess stock (market) valuation. For a cross section comprising 10 OECD economies and a time span of at most 40 years alternative binary chronologies of price bubble periods are determined. Using these...
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