We show that a proper assessment of the linkages between commercial real estate markets and the economy requires state of the art modelling techniques, which treat economic variables endogenously and allow for a number of long run relationships. We therefore use a long run structural modelling...

At 34%, Switzerland has the lowest home ownership rate in Western Europe. This is a puzzle given the economic strength of the country. We use 1998 household survey data for five Swiss cantons to explore some possible reasons for this. We estimate a tenure choice equation that allows us to...

This paper compares alternative methods for taking spatial dependence into account in house price prediction. We select hedonic methods that have been reported in the literature to perform relatively well in terms of ex-sample prediction accuracy. Because differences in performance may be due to...

ERES:conference

In this paper we investigate the role of real estate in a mixed-asset portfolio when the maximum drawdown (hereafter MaxDD), rather than standard deviation, is used as the measure of risk. The recent crash of equity markets around the world, and the consequences this has had on the balance...

This paper analyzes the relationships between local and global securitized real estate markets, but also between securitized real estate markets and common stock markets. First, the volatility transmissions across markets are examined using an asymmetric t-BEKK specification of their covariance...

ERES:conference

In this paper, we use the adjusted present value methodology with Monte Carlo simulations in a real estate valuation context. Monte Carlo simulations make it possible to incorporate the uncertainty in the components of future cash flows and in the discount rate. We use empirical data to extract...

ERES:conference

The discrepancy between suggested and actual allocations to real estate by institutional investors constitutes a puzzle. The allocation to real estate, however, has increased in recent years and as a result the flows to the market are now of great magnitude. In this paper, we argue that an...