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(4) a characterization of the mean, median and empirical distribution of forecasting heuristics. The median of the … distribution of GA forecasting heuristics can be used in designing or validating simple Heuristic Switching Model …
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This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of JMG's ideas of self-fulfilling mistakes....
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decision heuristics. Central to our survey is the question under which conditions a complex macro-system of interacting agents … and heuristics switching models match this observed micro and macro behaviour surprisingly well. We also discuss policy …
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