We study the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks on the long-run stock market variances and correlations, primarily for the US and the UK. We find that US EPU shocks affect both US and UK stock market long-run variances and correlation, but UK EPU shocks only affect its own...

We use economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks in combination with the mixed data sampling (MIDAS) approach to investigate long-run stock market variances and correlations, primarily for the US and the UK. The US long-run stock market variance depends significantly on US EPU shocks but not on...

We propose a novel measure of the ex-ante commodity downside-risk premium (CDP) for each commodity based on a term structure model of commodity futures. Our theory-based CDP, capturing forward-looking information in the futures markets, outperforms well-known characteristics in explaining the...