We consider the pricing of a range of volatility derivatives, including volatility and variance swaps. Under risk-neutral valuation we provide closed form formulae for volatility-average and variance swaps for a variety of diffusion and jump-diffusion models for volatility. We describe a general...

We report on a technique based on multi-agent games which has potential use in the prediction of future movements of financial time-series. A third-party game is trained on a black-box time-series, and is then run into the future to extract next-step and multi-step predictions. In addition to...

In this paper we show how to calculate European-style option prices when the log-stock and stock returns processes follow a symmetric Levy-Stable process. We extend our results to price European-style options when the log-stock process follows a skewed Levy-Stable process.

This paper investigates option prices in an incomplete stochastic volatility model with correlation. In a general setting, we prove an ordering result which says that prices for European options with convex payoffs are decreasing in the market price of volatility risk. As an example, and as our...

We develop a parameterised model for liquidity effects arising from the trading in an asset. Liquidity is defined via a combination of a trader's individual transaction cost and a price slippage impact, which is felt by all market participants. The chosen definition allows liquidity to be...

The dynamical evolution of many economic, sociological, biological and physical systems tends to be dominated by a relatively small number of unexpected, large changes (`extreme events'). We study the large, internal changes produced in a generic multi-agent population competing for a limited...

This paper develops a subordinated stochastic process model for the asset price, where the directing process is identified as information. Motivated by recent empirical and theoretical work, we make use of the under-used market statistic of transaction count as a suitable proxy for the...

We discuss the `continuity correction' that should be applied to connect the prices of discretely sampled American put options (i.e.Bermudan options) and their continuously-sampled equivalents. Using a matched asymptotic expansions approach we compute the correction and relate it to that...

We discuss the Monte-Carlo valuation of American options, using a technique due to Rogers which furnishes an upper bound. The method is illustrated and possible improvements to its accuracy are considered.

We discuss the `continuity correction' that should be applied to relate the prices of discretely sampled barrier options and their continuously-sampled equivalents. Using a matched asymptotic expansions approach we show that the correction of Broadie, Glasserman \& Kou (\emph{Mathematical...