This paper proposes a new econometric estimation method for analyzing the probability of leaving unemployment using … unemployment between the 1980s and 1990s during a period of labor market reform. We find that the relative probability of leaving … unemployment for the short-term unemployed compared to the long-term unemployed becomes significantly higher in the 1990s. …

recession started, with their preferred model estimating the gap at the high end of this range. Accounting for unemployment … natural rate of unemployment may be lower than is often assumed (by as much as 0.6 percentage points since 2000) and that the …

This paper proposes a new econometric estimation method for analyzing the probability of leaving unemployment using … unemployment between the 1980s and 1990s during a period of labor market reform. We find that the relative probability of leaving … unemployment for the short-term unemployed compared to the long-term unemployed becomes significantly higher in the 1990s …