We systematically examine the comparative predictive performance of a number of alternativelinear and non-linear models for stock and bond returns in the G7 countries. Besides Markovswitching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) regimeswitching...

We use multivariate regime switching vector autoregressive models to characterize the time-varyinglinkages among the Irish stock market, one of the top world performers of the 1990s, and the US andUK stock markets. We ¯nd that two regimes, characterized as bear and bull states, are required...

This study investigates the sensitivity of stock returns at the industry level to market, exchange rateand interest rate shocks in the four major European economies: France, Germany, Italy and the UK.In addition to exposure to the market, significant levels of exposure to both exchange rate...

In this paper we investigate the stock market response to international monetary policychanges in the UK and Germany. Specifically, we analyse the impact of (un)expectedchanges in UK and German/Euro area policy rates on UK and German aggregate andsectoral equity returns in an event study. The...

This paper examines the price impact of trading intensity on an emerging futures market. Utilizing anovel volume-augmented duration model of price discovery, the intensity effect is decomposed intoliquidity and information components for the MexDer 28-day interest rate futures contract. We...