Institute of Forecasters (Journal of Forecasting 1982-1985; International Journal of Forecasting 1985-2005). During this period …, over one third of all papers published in these journals concerned time series forecasting. We also review highly … influential works on time series forecasting that have been published elsewhere during this period. Enormous progress has been …

assumed to be Gaussian, the resulting prediction distribution may have an infinite variance beyond a certain forecasting … approximation causes no serious problems for parameter estimation or for forecasting one or two steps ahead. However, for longer …. The performance of the Gaussian approximation is compared with those of two lognormal models for short-term forecasting …

forecasting error (MISFE) and accounts for 99.3% of variation around the mean mortality curve. 20 year forecast suggest a … greatest decline in older women. We illustrate the utility of a new modelling and forecasting approach to model breast cancer …

-term forecasting and also produce sensible long-term forecasts. The forecasts are compared with the official Australian government …

the other periods. Croston's method is a widely used procedure for intermittent demand forecasting. However, it is an ad …