This article tests the efficiency of the hog options market and assesses the impact of the 1996 contract redesign on efficiency. We find that the hog options market is efficient, but some options yielded excess returns during the live hogs period but not during the lean hogs period. Our findings...

The paper examines empirical returns from holding thirty- and ninety-day call and put positions,and the forecasting performance of implied volatility in the live and feeder cattle optionsmarkets. In both markets, implied volatility is an upwardly biased and inefficient predictor ofrealized...

Recent accusations against speculators in general and long-only commodity index funds inparticular, include: increasing market volatility, distorting historical price relationships, andfueling a rapid increase and decrease in commodity inflation. Some researchers have argued thatthese market...

This paper investigates whether the accuracy of outlook hog price forecasts can be improvedusing composite forecasts in an out-of-sample context. Price forecasts from four wellrecognizedoutlook programs are combined with futures-based forecasts, ARIMA, andunrestricted Vector Autoregressive (VAR)...

Changes of land prices in years 2004 through 2009 are presented. The aim of this article was to study the relations between the location of farm and the land price. The scope of the study includes 16 voivodeships of Poland. The study applies to farms with area of 50 hectare and more. Moran...

The aim of this study was to investigate the spatial relationships occurring between the price of agricultural land and its quality as well as other factors determining the productivity and the economic value of property. The paper uses multivariate regression analysis of spatial autocorrelation...

The aim of this paper is to determine the scale of diversification of provinces in Poland. The investigated time interval is years 2001 to 2007. The research covers 19 variables that allow for grouping voivodeships in homogenous clusters. The analysis was conducted using the k means method. /...

The productivity is a key issue in economics as it is one of the factors affecting the economic prosperity. An analysis of the agricultural production has a special place in economics of agriculture due to its high dependency on many factors. Therefore, many authors try to define what and to...

Multivariate methods for analysis of the production and economic results in agricultural holdings in the EU countries are presented. Three methods were used: principal components analysis, cluster analysis and k-means method. The data base concerned 25 countries in the period of 1989- 2006. /...

This paper investigates whether the accuracy of outlook hog price forecasts can be improved using composite forecasts in an out-of-sample context. Price forecasts from four wellrecognized outlook programs are combined with futures-based forecasts, ARIMA, and unrestricted Vector Autoregressive...