We consider the nonstationary fractional model dXt = "t with "t i.i.d.(0;2) and d 1/2. We derive an analytical expression for the main term of the asymptotic bias of the maximum likelihood estimator of d conditional on initial values, and we discuss the role of the initial values for the bias....

There are simple well-known conditions for the validity of regression and correlation as statistical tools. We analyse by examples the effect of nonstationarity on inference using these methods and compare them to model based inference using the cointegrated vector autoregressive model. Finally...