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of the universe of over 200 recession episodes in 14 advanced countries between 1870 and 2008, we document two key facts …; and for both types of recession, more credit-intensive expansions tend to be followed by deeper recessions and slower …
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After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty of identifying multipliers from observational data. This paper...
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