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Probabilistic forecasts play a significant role in a wide variety of economics activities. However, established econometric modeling approaches for probabilistic forecasts may yield unsatisfactory forecasting performance due to model misspecification. In my dissertation, I try to minimize such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009449941
The subject of the present thesis is to apply microeconometrictechniques to labor economics and criminal behavior. There are twoindependent chapters. The aim of chapter one is to build andestimate an econometric model of recidivism for the United Statesusing data set of released prisoners from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009450092
The analysis of auctions is an active area of research for both theoretical and empirical economists. Concentrating on a particular auction format, namely the First--Price Sealed--Bid auction, this dissertation contributes to the analysis of auction both from a methodological viewpoint and from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009449967
Essay 1: Integrated Conditional MomentTest for Parametric Conditional Distributions (with Herman J. Bierens)This paper extends the Integrated Conditional Moment (ICM) test for the functional form of nonlinear regression models to tests for parametric conditional distributions. This test is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009450116
It is unrealistic to conceive that economic variables or relationships follow a statistical law in which moments or parameters are kept constant over time. The focus of this dissertation is on model specification and testing of time series that are subject to gradual or sudden structural changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009450165