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Filtering German economic conditions from a large dataset : the new DIW economic barometer
Viefers, Paul; Fichtner, Ferdinand; Junker, Simon; … - 2014
This paper presents a revised version of the DIW Economic Barometer, the business cycle index of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin). As in earlier versions, we put forward a factor model on a monthly frequency to filter the latent state of the aggregate economy. In the new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417490
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German economy : strong employment growth, weak investment activity
Fichtner, Ferdinand; Brenke, Karl; Clemens, Marius; … - In: DIW economic bulletin 7 (2017) 11, pp. 129-132
surpluses will experience a sharp decline. Investment, on the other hand, remains weak, partially due to the fact that Brexit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011629524
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Deutsche Wirtschaft derzeit besser als ihr Ruf
Michelsen, Claus; Bruns, Martin; Clemens, Marius; … - In: DIW Wochenbericht 86 (2019) 11, pp. 162-182
Die Hochkonjunktur in Deutschland ist vorüber, eine Rezession, droht indes nicht: Trotz der jüngst schwächeren Konjunktur, dürfte die Wirtschaft in diesem Jahr um 1,0 Prozent, wachsen. Eine tragende Säule bleibt der Konsum: Im Jahresdurchschnitt, wird die Zahl der Arbeitnehmerinnen und...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993773
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Deutsche Wirtschaft derzeit besser als ihr Ruf
Michelsen, Claus; Bruns, Martin; Clemens, Marius; … - In: DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 86 (2019) 11, pp. 162-182
Die Hochkonjunktur in Deutschland ist vorüber, eine Rezession, droht indes nicht: Trotz der jüngst schwächeren Konjunktur, dürfte die Wirtschaft in diesem Jahr um 1,0 Prozent, wachsen. Eine tragende Säule bleibt der Konsum: Im Jahresdurchschnitt, wird die Zahl der Arbeitnehmerinnen und...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987665
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Upswing of German economy prevails
Fichtner, Ferdinand; Baldi, Guido; Bremus, Franziska; … - In: DIW Economic Bulletin 5 (2015) 26, pp. 343-353
the labor market. Companies are moderately expanding their investment in equipment; however, uncertainties related to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288341
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Deutsche Wirtschaft setzt Aufschwung fort: Sommergrundlinien 2015
Fichtner, Ferdinand; Baldi, Guido; Bremus, Franziska; … - In: DIW Wochenbericht 82 (2015) 26, pp. 591-606
the labor market. Companies are moderately expanding their investment in equipment; however, uncertainties related to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288346
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DIW economic outlook
Fichtner, Ferdinand; Baldi, Guido; Bremus, Franziska; … - In: DIW Economic Bulletin 5 (2015) 38, pp. 495-507
investment is also expected to recover. In the emerging markets, growth will remain subdued this year. Higher financial market …, investment will be rather subdued overall. Concerns about the future of the euro area are likely to dampen investment plans … expansion of investment in equipment is emerging. With robust foreign demand and fully utilized capacities in the industry …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011341102
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Herbstgrundlinien 2015: Deutsche Wirtschaft hält Kurs
Fichtner, Ferdinand; Baldi, Guido; Bremus, Franziska; … - In: DIW Wochenbericht 82 (2015) 38, pp. 827-861
investment is also expected to recover. In the emerging markets, growth will remain subdued this year. Higher financial market …. In contrast, investment will be rather subdued overall. Concerns about the future of the euro area are likely to dampen … investment plans. Furthermore, considerable uncertainties about the development of important markets have recently intensified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011341116
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Domestic demand drives German economy
Fichtner, Ferdinand; Baldi, Guido; Bremus, Franziska; … - In: DIW Economic Bulletin 5 (2015) 50/51, pp. 653-665
, investment in equipment will develop only modestly. In addition to the overall slightly weaker global sales prospects, there are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011416893
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Inlandsnachfrage treibt deutsche Wirtschaft an: Wintergrundlinien 2015
Fichtner, Ferdinand; Baldi, Guido; Bremus, Franziska; … - In: DIW Wochenbericht 82 (2015) 51/52, pp. 1203-1213
consumption this creates, as well as with increased activity in the construction industry. In contrast, investment in equipment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011417074