This paper presents a revised version of the DIW Economic Barometer, the business cycle index of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin). As in earlier versions, we put forward a factor model on a monthly frequency to filter the latent state of the aggregate economy. In the new...

This paper presents a revised version of the DIW Economic Barometer, the business cycle index of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin). As in earlier versions, we put forward a factor model on a monthly frequency to filter the latent state of the aggregate economy. In the new...

This paper presents a revised version of the DIW Economic Barometer, the business cycle index of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin). As in earlier versions, we put forward a factor model on a monthly frequency to filter the latent state of the aggregate economy. In the new...

Since last year, Germany has not even been runner-up in visible exports. It has been overtaken by China, and now the US, on the list of the most prolific global exporting nations. But does this mean losing more than just an attention-grabbing title? Are exports becoming less important to...

The German economy is continuing on an upward trend. Due to surprisingly weak production at the start of this year, GDP is likely to increase by 1.8 percent and is therefore growing somewhat slower this year than previously predicted. Growth of 1.9 percent is still expected for the coming year....

Die deutsche Wirtschaft setzt ihren Aufschwung fort. Aufgrund der überraschend schwachen Produktion zum Jahresbeginn wird das Bruttoinlandsprodukt im laufenden Jahr wohl um 1,8 Prozent und damit im jahresdurchschnittlichen Vergleich etwas weniger zulegen als bislang erwartet. Für das kommende...

The German economy is on track, and will likely grow by 1.8 percent this year; in the coming year, with a slight increase in dynamics, it will grow by 1.9 percent. With these figures DIW Berlin confirms its forecast from this summer. Employment growth continues; the unemployment rate will...

Die deutsche Wirtschaft hält Kurs und wird in diesem Jahr wohl um 1,8 Prozent wachsen, im kommenden Jahr, bei leicht anziehender Dynamik, um 1,9 Prozent. Damit hält das DIW Berlin an seiner Prognose vom Sommer dieses Jahres fest. Der Beschäftigungsaufbau setzt sich fort; die Arbeitslosenquote...

The German economy is expected to grow by 1.7 percent this year, and to maintain this pace in 2016 as well. The rate of growth should slow down slightly (to 1.5 percent) in 2017, but only because the number of working days will be lower due to the timing of public holidays. The global economy is...

Die deutsche Wirtschaft dürfte in diesem Jahr um 1,7 Prozent wachsen und dieses Tempo im nächsten Jahr halten. Im Jahr 2017 wird sie zwar voraussichtlich mit einer etwas geringeren Rate zulegen (1,5 Prozent) - allerdings nur, weil die Zahl der Arbeitstage aufgrund der Lage der Feiertage...